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Many Early Projections Indicate that U.S. Home Prices Will Rise in 2024 - Flipping Profits Increase


  • Various sources are projecting home prices to rise between 0.8% and 6.4% within or through 2024

    • Continued low home inventory is the main reason many projections remain above flat or declining levels


Analysis: The 6.4% gain projected by Zillow is too optimistic right now. Other sources that project a decline in prices may be too conservative. With many sources projecting mortgage rates to decrease a bit in 2024 and low inventory of for-sale housing stock to continue, I think it’s safe to project slight increases in home prices. As of now, I would safely expect a national average price appreciation range of 1% - 1.5% in 2024.



House-Flipping Profits Continue to Rebound


  • Second quarter 2023 data shows house-flipping profits continued to rebound

    • Gross profit on a typical house increased to $66,500—up from $56,350 the previous quarter

      • Return on investment rose for the 2nd straight quarter to 27.5%

Analysis: Investors are being more selective on properties to flip. Some sellers are attracted to all-cash quick closings that don’t include today’s evolving financing complications from conventional buyers, and many sellers no longer have “sky high” thoughts on their home value like they did 1-2 years ago. On the buyers’ side of flipped homes, many are often choosing (and even competing) to purchase from non-contingent sellers (like flippers) with less strings attached to close the deal on a turn-key home. This has resulted in an uptick of profits in which most markets have continued to see modest price appreciation.


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